Opinion | The 3 kinds of swing voters — and why they aren't with Trump or Biden
These groups of voters show why 2024 will be so hard to predict.
Source: washingtonpost.com
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Polls say black voters are migrating toward Trump. Will actual votes follow?
One of the most discussed storylines of the early 2024 campaign season is the historic shift of black voters toward former President Donald Trump.
Source: washingtonexaminer.com
Seniors for Biden? Looking Into the Polls Among Another Key Subgroup
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE— Horse race presidential polling has shown some significant weaknesses for President Biden among at least a couple of key subgroups: young people and Black voters.— However, some polls have also shown Biden doing unusually well among senior citizens.— The oldest voters have generally voted to the right of the national vote in recent cycles, and that is probably what we should expect in 2024 as well, despite these polls.
Source: rasmussenreports.com
Could abortion rights ballot measures tip Florida or other states?
The historical evidence is mixed and suggests these things have relatively little impact. But even small shifts can matter, and the dynamics on abortion are somewhat different.
Source: washingtonpost.com
Is Trump Really Making Gains With Black and Latino Voters?
Trump-versus-Biden polls have shown remarkably high gains for the former president among Black and Latino voters. But a closer look at these surveys and actual election data suggests it could be an illusion.
Source: nymag.com