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MSNBC The Sunday Show With Jonathan Capehart January 16, 2022 15:32:00

And it turns out that only two factors came out highly predictive. the first was this anocracy variable. it was whether countries were in democratic decline or were rapidly changing in some way. and, of course, that s what s happened here in the united states. the u.s. democracy was downgraded in 2016 when international observers deemed our election free but not entirely fair. it was downgraded again in 2019 when the white house, the executive branch, refused to comply with requests from the legislature, the branch that checks the executive branch, refused to comply with subpoenas and hand over paper. and then by the end of the trump presidency, the u.s. was downgraded to an anocracy for the first time since 1800. right. and you say that the united states is no longer the world s ....

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MSNBC All In With Chris Hayes January 26, 2022 08:56:00

Criticizing republican parties knowing they can come knock on my door. and yet, it does seem clear there has been a real fall back in democratic health. how to think about that in a rigorous way? well, i ll tell you why it s really important to understand anocracy. i ve studied civil wars and political violence for 30 years all over the world. and between 2017 and 2021, i was asked to serve on a task force run by the u.s. government called the political instability task force. and our job was to come up with a predictive model of where around the world political instability and violence could break out. we were not allowed to look at the united states, we never talked about the united states, we were studying asia, and central asia, and africa, and the middle east. and we included in the model every possible variable we thought could matter. poverty, ethnic diversity, income inequality, over 30 of them. and only two factors came out highly predictive. the first was this anocracy vari ....

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