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Journalism and the Social Sciences • Stimson Center

A two-way street between journalists and social scientists will be more critical than ever to promote an engaged and informed public. ....

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Will China Replace the US ...or Will the Two Powers Stalemate?

Will China Replace the US ...or Will the Two Powers Stalemate?
counterpunch.org - get the latest breaking news, showbiz & celebrity photos, sport news & rumours, viral videos and top stories from counterpunch.org Daily Mail and Mail on Sunday newspapers.

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Sparking a second civil war: The question for 2024 elections isn't who will win, but will America survive?

Sparking a second civil war: The question for 2024 elections isn't who will win, but will America survive?
finalcall.com - get the latest breaking news, showbiz & celebrity photos, sport news & rumours, viral videos and top stories from finalcall.com Daily Mail and Mail on Sunday newspapers.

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MSNBC All In With Chris Hayes January 26, 2022 01:57:00

All over the world. and between 2017 and 2021, i was asked to serve on a task force run by the u.s. government called the political instability task force. and our job was to come up with a predictive model of where around the world political instability and violence could break out. we were not allowed to look at the united states, we never talked about the united states, we were studying asia and central asia, and africa, in the middle east. and we included in the model every possible variable we caught thought could matter. poverty, ethnic diversity, incoming couldn t equality, over 30 of them. and only two factors came out highly predictive. the first was this and knock receive area bowl, partial democracies are three times more likely to experience political violence and civil war than full democracies. and the second factor which is more troubling, it is a knock or see isn t really enough. you need a knock receipt ....

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MSNBC All In With Chris Hayes January 26, 2022 08:56:00

Criticizing republican parties knowing they can come knock on my door. and yet, it does seem clear there has been a real fall back in democratic health. how to think about that in a rigorous way? well, i ll tell you why it s really important to understand anocracy. i ve studied civil wars and political violence for 30 years all over the world. and between 2017 and 2021, i was asked to serve on a task force run by the u.s. government called the political instability task force. and our job was to come up with a predictive model of where around the world political instability and violence could break out. we were not allowed to look at the united states, we never talked about the united states, we were studying asia, and central asia, and africa, and the middle east. and we included in the model every possible variable we thought could matter. poverty, ethnic diversity, income inequality, over 30 of them. and only two factors came out highly predictive. the first was this anocracy vari ....

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