over the last five years, i have been watching what's happening here in my own country, and one of the things that i have seen is that these same factors are emerging here in the united states, and they're emerging at a surprisingly fast rate. that's the reason why i wrote this book. >> what factors are you talking about. what specifically do you look at. mozambique, you had a very violent, incredibly violent, what are the parallels? >> yeah, so we don't look at individual cases. for four years, since 2017, i was on a task force run by the u.s. government called the political instability task force. and one of our jobs was to come up with a predictive model of where around the world, not here in the united states, where across the globe political instability and political violence was likely to break out. and we put in 56 different factors from poverty to income