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That is putting the fed in a bit of a bind. It creates the risk of a policy mistake. The fed will not make a policy mistake if everything is fine. If the data does not get worse. Which people are forecasting. You could have a second half where the economy is bouncing back. The second half we should see that fade. The fed is actually going to surprise to the downside on the Balance Sheet. They should not continue that Balance Sheet expansion. Is the market going to see that as the end of qe, quantitative tightening . The fed playbook is to cut big and fast and signal qe if there is weakness. Th...

With blake burman at the white house, gerri willis on the floor of the new york stock exchange, Edward Lawrence is in d. C. And grady trimbull is in chicago with all of the news coming out of 1,600 pennsylvania, blake we start with you. Reporter hi there, connell the president s top advisors continue to insist the attack potentially directed by Qassem Soleimani against the u. S. Was imminent, as the secretary of state, mike pompeo, at one point saying that the president s advisors would have been negligent, had he not told the president he should have struck soleimani like he did. As far as th...

How long can the rally continue . We begin with the big issue, markets betting low rates are here to stay in 2020. It is hard to see the yield breakout from here. Rates will probably drift lower. Bond yields moving sideways. We cant generate any inflation right now. It should eventually be a good year for bonds. Still attractive but certainly not breaking out. 1. 20 by the end of the year. If we get to 1. 2 on the 10 year, we are looking at a global recession. We are going to test 1 . A lot of things have to be going incredibly wrong to get to 1 . I think we are going lower. The u. S. Economy ...

Be hard to fight. That is putting the fed and a bit of a bind. It creates the risk of a policy mistake. If the data does not get worse. You it creates the risk of a policy mistake. Could have an economy where the second half is bouncing back. The fed is actually going to is actually going to surprise to the downside on the Balance Sheet. Is the market going to see that as the end of qe, quantitative tightening . Cuthe fed playbook is to tight and fast and signal if there is weakness. Jonathan joining me around the table is greg staples, lisa hornby, and ken monahan. Your thoughts on that, can ...

They may get back in. Conditions have to worsen. If something dramatic happens. Or inflation has to majorly overshoot their level. They dont want to be the reason the markets fall off but they also dont want to be the reason they go up. They are not going up or down. They will probably try to stay out of the spotlight. Jonathan joining me around the table, diana amoa, gregory peters, and in london, Andrew Chorlton. Andy, your thoughts on the threshold to bring the fed back to the table in 2020 . Andy i think if we put aside what happened overnight, because i think that is much more complex, ot...