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today on "inside politics" a plea deal for the president's son. the justice department says hunter biden will admit he broke federal tax and gun laws. a development already kicking up a hornet's nest of house republicans. plus, we have brand new cnn poll numbers this hour. they confirm donald trump's big early lead, but not as big as it was. and the former president walks into a trap of his own making. he goes on fox news and talks a lot about the legal case against him. did he accidentally confess to some of the crimes he's accused of committing? i'm dana bash. let's go behind the h...

And is she still doing that? >> i asked her about it, and it is interesting. i said when did you stop being an election denier, because she was questioning the fairness of the 2020 election, and we had quite a go around. and she said, biden is in the oval office, and i said, is it legitimate, and she would not go that far, and she said, he won, but i won't say that there were no problems with the selection, and that it was a fair election. part of the problem is that, look, donald trump, the big frontrunner for this nomination refuses to say that biden won it fairly. a majority of the republic...

Eric: more than half of the 2020 democratic contenders are in san francisco right now. they're attending the california democratic convention. it's considered the biggest event in the early primary season. but the big frontrunner in the race, well, he's a no-show. claudia cowen live in san francisco with the latest and why joe biden isn't there. hi, claudia. >> reporter: hi, eric. that's right, the former vice president, joe biden, sitting this one out. he is campaigning instead in columbus, ohio and promises to visit the golden state later this month. some political observers say the frontrun...

The british politician, neil kinnick. people of a certain age can still recite it, why am i the first biden and generation of bidens. and a lot of the times when it came to a crux moment for him, there was a faltering. >> i think that's definitely part of the pattern. i mean, we say it, in 1987 when he dropped out of the presidential race, he was just about to become the front-runner on the democratic side. and really one of the reasons he was the front-runner was taking the lines from neil kinnick. the thing about that was, he has been taken by this television ad that neil kinnick had run in ...

Garden. >> and lawrence, as you look at the near future in the democratic party, you think the glass is half empty or half full? >> the democratic party, if you look at the polling has been in a very strong position all the way through this, as much as people want to talk about the big donald trump poll numbers, the hillary clinton poll numbers in the democratic party have always been double the trump poll numbers. you have much stronger support for the frontrunner on the democratic side than you do for the republican side. the republican side can be described as -- with a bunch of words that ...