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What does a rise in bond yield mean?

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What does a rise in bond yield mean?
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If one has to explain in simple terms, bond yield means the returns an investor will derive by investing in the bond. The mathematical formula for calculating yield is the annual coupon rate divided by the current market price of the bond. Therefore, there is an inverse relationship between the yield and price of the bond. As the price of the bond goes up, the yield falls; and as the price of the bond goes down, the yield goes up.
If you are investing in debt instruments such as debt mutual funds, it is important to understand the concept of bond yield, as a movement in bond yields reflects the changes in the prices of the bonds. As debt funds have to value their debt holding on market price, a fall in bond prices may result in mark-to-market losses. This will impact the returns of the debt funds.

Reserve Bank loosens grip on yields at auction to leave traders guessing


Rising yields at India’s latest government bond auction are signaling the central bank may be reluctantly accepting higher borrowing costs amid a global rout.
The Reserve Bank of India sold some of 10-year debt at 6.22 per cent on Friday, compared with about 6 per cent in previous auctions. That’s after a spike in U.S. Treasury yields and oil prices pushed borrowing costs higher globally.
"The RBI has allowed yields to adjust higher due to global reflationary pressures," said Shailendra Jhingan, chief executive at ICICI Securities Primary Dealership Ltd. "They are allowing an orderly evolution of the yield curve without any fixed target where yields should be."

Amid rising bond yields, FPIs pull out Rs 5,156 cr in March so far

Read more about Amid rising bond yields, FPIs pull out Rs 5,156 cr in March so far on Business Standard. Overseas investors pulled out a net Rs 881 cr from equities and Rs 4,275 cr from the debt segment between March 1-5, taking the total net withdrawals to Rs 5,156 cr

Wildest yield gap since 2001 boosts allure of bonds, shows data


India’s stock bulls have more reasons to worry after having suffered back-to-back weekly losses as yields on the government bonds climb with global peers.
The ratio between the nation’s benchmark 10-year yield and the BSE Sensex index’s current earnings yield is now at the highest level since 2001, dimming the appeal of equities.
However, ICICI Securities isn’t swayed, saying in a note Monday that Indian equities don’t look overvalued relative to bonds even after the yield spike, adding that a situation of higher economic growth and moderate inflation would be bullish for stocks.
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Statsguru: Bond market pressure is getting reflected in the stock market


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Sensex, Nifty rebound as yield pressure eases; ONGC, UltraTech gain

Read more about Sensex, Nifty rebound as yield pressure eases; ONGC, UltraTech gain on Business Standard. The progress in the US stimulus package and gross domestic product (GDP) growth in India for the quarter ended December 31, after two consecutive quarters of contraction, also helped sentiment

How RBI should 'manage' the yield curve


Exclusive content, features, opinions and comment - hand-picked by our editors, just for you.
Pick 5 of your favourite companies. Get a daily email with all the news updates on them.
Track the industry of your choice with a daily newsletter specific to that
industry.
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NOTE :
This product is a monthly auto renewal product.
Cancellation Policy: You can cancel any time in the future without assigning any reasons, but 48 hours prior to your card being charged for renewal. We do not offer any refunds.
To cancel, communicate from your registered email id and send the mail with the request to [email protected] Include your contact number for easy reference. Requests mailed to any other ID will not be acknowledged or actioned upon.

Stock market crash: CIO warns of 20% drop in S&P as 10-yr yields rise


10-year Treasury yields have risen to their highest levels since before the pandemic in recent days.
James McDonald, CIO at Hercules Investments, told Insider he expects yields to continue rising. 
He said they could rise to 2.5% by the end of March and trigger a 20% sell-off in the S&P 500.
Yields on 10-year Treasury notes have spiked to a one-year high over the last month, rising above 1.5% as COVID-19 cases fall and vaccinations continue — positive developments for the economic recovery ahead. 
According to James McDonald, chief investment officer of the alternative asset manager Hercules Investments, the bleeding isn't likely to stop anytime in the coming weeks.

Largest Negative Term Premium Since At Least 2007 – Investment Watch


On Thursday, the 10 year bond yield had a very large spike. It went up 14.4 basis points to 1.525% which is close to where it was before the pandemic. As you can see from the chart below, there was an intraday spike which is a big deal given how well followed/traded this asset is. Ignoring this gap up, no one should be surprised by the increase in the past few weeks. Now that it’s clear the pandemic is near its close, why shouldn’t the 10 year yield get back to where it was prior to the crisis? In fact, growth and inflation should be above normal because of all the fiscal and monetary stimulus in the past year. The 10 year yield can easily go to 2% later this year.

Worried about the market crash? Here's how analysts interpret the fall

Read more about Worried about the market crash? Here's how analysts interpret the fall on Business Standard. The market breadth was in favour of the bears with the advance-decline ratio at nearly 1:2

Share Market Live: Sensex down 100 points, Nifty at 15,080; Tata Motors, Asian Paints, ICICI Bank top losers

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Dalal Street today: Traders said markets are experiencing correction after significant gains made post the Union Budget and positive quarterly results, while mostly remaining positive for small and mid-caps

Bond yields rise in absence of OMO announcement


Bond yields rise in absence of OMO announcement
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Bond yields rise in absence of OMO announcement
Reuters / Jan 15, 2021, 14:43 IST
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MUMBAI: India’s benchmark bond yield rose on Friday to a three-week high as a lack of an open market operation announcement disappointed investors ahead of a debt sale and variable rate reverse repo auction later in the day.
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) last week said it would conduct a variable rate reverse repo auction for Rs 2 lakh crore ($27 billion) on January 15 on review of the evolving liquidity and financial conditions.
“It has been decided to restore normal liquidity management operations in a phased manner,” the RBI said.

Indian Bond Yields Post Biggest Weekly Rise In Four Months

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Indian bond yields post biggest weekly rise in four months
Markets read the release as an indication that the RBI was looking to roll back the massive cash surplus in the banking system, despite its reiteration that it will ensure availability of ample liquidity.
Reuters
January 15, 2021 / 07:31 PM IST
India's benchmark bond yield saw its biggest weekly rise in four months following the Reserve Bank of India's decision to restore normal liquidity operations, while absence of a special open market operation announcement for next week also hurt.
The Reserve Bank of India last week said it would conduct a variable-rate reverse repo auction for 2 trillion rupees ($27 billion) on Jan. 15 after a review of the evolving liquidity and financial conditions.

Best of low rates behind us & 'Taper' talks spurred US treasury yield spike: Bhaskar Panda


Bhaskar Panda estimates a range for India 10-year bond yield: 5.85%-5.95%
Flows coming into higher yield markets like India to remain strong, said Bhaskar Panda
The 10-year Treasury yield spiked above 1% for the first time since March 2020. While it pared the advance and had a relatively moderate close, the U.S. government bond yields have witnessed 'bear steepening' and this could potentially cause concerns in the market, rallying due to excess liquidity.
What is Bear Steepening?
It's a phenomenon that occurs when there is large variance between short term and long term bond rates. This difference or variance is plotted in the yield curve, in which the short end of the curve is driven by short-term interest rates while the long end is based on long-term bond rates. In a normal yield curve, bonds with short-term maturities have lower yields than those with long-term maturities. The yield curve 'steepens' when this spread or variance between the long and short-term yields widens.

The Nifty P-E is at an all-time high, but this is not the time to sell

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The Nifty P-E is at an all-time high, but this is not the time to sell
Standalone or absolute P-E ratio levels seem to be less relevant. Here’s a new yardstick that will help investors make buy-sell decisions
September 21, 2020 / 11:48 AM IST
The Nifty has gained about 50 percent from the lows in March 2020. The markets haven’t corrected despite India’s first quarter GDP growth plunging to a multidecadal low. There is still a lot of chatter around the fact that the markets currently don't reflect the fundamentals.
There are many questions in a retail investor’s mind:  is it a good time to buy? Will the market go up from here or is it a good time to sell? Stock market experts and analysts too, present differing views. Here a not-so-often used ratio can come to the rescue.

Methods for Arriving at the Fair Value of Companies


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Methods for Arriving at the Fair Value of Companies
GuruFocus will add valuation numbers to the summary pages of stocks. We will try to use these numbers as proxies of the intrinsic values of the stock. When compared with the stock price, these numbers will give us some idea of whether the stock is overvalued or undervalued.
We will use different methods to calculate these values. The details are summarized below. In general, the value of a company is calculated based on either its asset value, earning power or the combination of both. We will explain how each one works, compare them and give examples of the values they arrive at for some familiar stocks.

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