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After the 27 February UN General Assembly vote on Russia's invasion of Ukraine, which tested Africa's political and military alliances, US President Joe Biden will in December meet some of the African leaders, who chose to abstain from voting, in person.
The challenge for Western policymakers is to avoid viewing Russian activism in the Eastern Mediterranean and North Africa through an exclusively zero-sum lens. The region’s political disarray, complexities, and especially the unpredictability of local rulers all present built-in buffers to Russian influence—as they do to all external players.