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, All of which sounds very pretty indeed, but it does raise a question: can risk really be destroyed, or can it only be transferred? And if it can only be transferred, then what's it been transferred to? What a remarkable moment in time: every asset is lofting higher, with no limits in sight. The path ahead is already well-scouted: the U.S. economy will add a million jobs a month until the cows come home, Covid will continue fading until it basically disappears as an issue, the dollar and volatility will continue their death-march toward zero (good for risk assets), oil and commodities are e...

January 06, 2021 TRANSCRIPT Andrew Metrick: Thanks a lot for joining us today, Paul. We appreciate it. You’re a great citizen for us at Yale. I want to ask you some questions about what we’ve learned over this last year on your topics of expertise. First, markets were overwhelmed by transaction flows as the COVID crisis began last spring. In response, some have called for the Federal Reserve to establish a broad repurchase facility to help finance the intermediation of such flows. Others have suggested a shift to central clearing of Treasury trades to ease market pressures in times of...

With Congress needing more time to finalize a stimulus package, Wall Street left new highs Thursday to close out the week on a loss.  Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., signs a form next to Dr. Brian Monahan, attending physician Congress of the United States, after she received a Pfizer-BioNTech Covid-19 vaccine shot in Washington on Friday. (Anna Moneymaker/The New York Times via AP, Pool) MANHATTAN (CN) — Investors swarmed indices on Friday in a heavy round of trading, but the excitement from Thursday’s record highs waned as Wall Street fretted about Congress’ inability to...

The united states has been on island because of a lot of president trump's rhetoric and a lot of his behavior. i'm worried about what iran will do. if there is potential for conflict there. if that is the negotiations aren't handled well. they are really only negotiations in name right now. there is not a lot of movement there. i would say the same about north korea. the final issue, which knit isn't a foreign policy issue. the fed put out a report that president trump put in place cost manufacturing jobs. caused prices to be higher. caused job losses in many sectors. that is foreign policy is...

Said set to come in, in december. how concerning? >> fed put out uncertainty as trade policy is a big negative. you mentioned the gm strike also boeing slowed production of the 737 because of the problems with the safety devices. so i think if all of that stuff is fixed before trade, 2.5% number. lost a half a percent because of trade uncertainty. the president focused on the up side. he wants to have a deal with china. has a ussca deal trading off for a stronger economy in the future. >> i get that. i'm a glass half full person myself. that said, this can't be ignored. you've been there, been...