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Eco releases remain second tier today, but the number of central bank speakers increases with especially Fed Waller discussing the US economy. Waller was one of the first and most prominent (rumoured candidate as next Fed chair) Fed-members to talk out in favour of keeping rates higher for longer.
Asian shares stay calm despite the S&P 500 hitting a new high. The US dollar holds firm post comments from the Federal Reserve's Waller. Attention turns to possible yen intervention by Japan, while gold prices decline. Investors await updates on US consumer confidence and UK Q4 GDP.
This hope for evidence de facto won’t be evident as base effects suggest a further upward drift in inflation in the next five months. A first Fed rate cut in June seems highly premature. US yields this morning add between 4 bps (2-y) and 0.5 bps (10-y).
Nvidia releases earnings on Wednesday after the close.
Markets scaled back expectations for a March Fed rate cut to about 50%. Later in the session, the Fed Beige book indicated that there was little change in economic activity. At the same time, holiday sales held up well and contact indicated that the prospect of Fed rate cuts is a source of optimism going forward. German yields added between 9.8 bps (2-y) and 0.4%(30-y).