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Fluctuating Chinese demand has contributed to this year's volatility in international oil prices. But the latest evolution on the supply side will have immediate geopolitical and financial implications that go well beyond the oil market. Specifically, Saudi Arabia has returned as the most important swing producer and thus the most influential marginal price-setter. But how long this situation will last is unclear.
Fluctuating Chinese demand has contributed to this year’s volatility in international oil prices. But the latest evolution on the supply side will have immediate geopolitical and financial implications that go well beyond the oil market. Specifically, Saudi Arabia has returned as the most important swing producer and thus the most influential marginal pricesetter. But how long this situation will last is unclear.
Mohamed A. El-Erian thinks the Kingdom’s reemergence as the key global producer is significant but is unlikely to last.