Page 40 - Fred Yang News Today : Breaking News, Live Updates & Top Stories | Vimarsana

Thanks for staying us with. the romney campaign is promising supporters they will have a victory tomorrow night. but his road to victory is narrow. let's take a look at the state's romney needs to win to become president of the united states. joining me is pollster fred yang. good to have you with us tonight. what's the most likely scenario for both candidates tomorrow? >> the most likely scenario is that barack obama will be reelected president of the united states. i think all analysts and pundits from both parties are looking at eight or nine key battleground states. and i think in addition...

0 we will hear of the angry voter to rid themselves of obama and the young and the hopeful, the believers in a fairer country, a country that is democratic and american, where justice is reachable and close to reality because of what we, all of us, do tomorrow. and, boy, that's "hardball" for now. thanks for being with us. "the ed show" starts right now. good evening, americans. welcome to "the ed show" from new york. with less than four hours to election day, this thing is going down to the wire. this is "the ed show." let's get to work. >> if you're having problems, i've got 99 problems bu...

0 giving voters the wrong date for the election in robocalls and mailings. they target minor tir voters and the elderly with voter i.d. laws. one predicted the laws would win pennsylvania for mitt romney. the lines in ohio and florida are the culmination of republican voter suppression effort. in the effort of -- but in spite of all of their efforts, people are still in line. in ohio 537,000 early votes have been cast in person. 35% of the state has already voted. president obama leads among early voters 62% to 36%. romney leads 52% to 42% on those who will vote tomorrow. that's why early voti...

Service worker, empty nester, older, rural counties. and those folks have surged to romney. guess where they're located? io iowa, minnesota, michigan, ohio, pennsylvania, upper state new york. and that's why these states are closing and closing in terms of why we're seeing margins moving towards romney. >> very quickly, bill, fred, do either -- what are the odds of a split decision, popular vote/electoral college? bill, what do you put it at? >> a one in four chance. national votes tend to spill over to the electoral college. >> i am the same category. and, by the way, when you look at individ...

49%/49%. and finally one more about the challenger's images. for mitt romney, 45%/44%. for john kerry 45%, 44%. i won't bring up the whole massachusetts aspects. bush went on to win that race thanks to a razor thin victory in ohio. so let's dig deeper inside the numbers. we all know it comes down to turnout. tomorrow it will come down to turnout but it's more complicated. the single most important question will be what is the racial composition of the electorate? and then, of course, the second question we'll be looking at to answer as the returns come in, how do the undecideds break. pollster...