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Climate attribution method overstates "fingerprints" of external forcing • Watts Up With That?

Climate attribution method overstates "fingerprints" of external forcing • Watts Up With That?
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United Arab Emirates , Hanyue Chen , Ross Mckitrick , Simon Tett , Myles Allen , Richard Tol , Global Warming Policy Foundation , Total Least Squares , Climate Dynamics , Generalized Least Squares , Allen Tett , Assessment Report , Instrumental Variables ,

Curb Your (Wage) Enthusiasm: How Mentorship Can Shape Career Formation – Guest post by Livia Alfonsi

The third in this year's job market series looks at a mentorship program for vocational training graduates in Uganda. ....

Job Market Paper , Meet Your Future , Empirical Bayes , Instrumental Variables ,

"Is small beautiful? An empirical analysis of land characteristics and " by Phuc Van Phan and Martin O'Brien

Small and fragmented farmland parcels are widely believed to be major impediments to agricultural activities. In this study, instrumental variables models are constructed to estimate the influence of the farm size and the number of farmland plots on household welfare proxied by income and the asset index in Vietnam. The study exploits the panel data of households collected from the Vietnam Access to Resources Household Survey (VARHS) every second year in the period 2008–2014, capturing cultural, political and socioeconomic dimensions of rural Vietnam. A positive relationship was found between farm size and household economic welfare proxied by household per capita income and a household asset index; however, this relationship was negative for the number of land plots. The main conclusion from our analysis is that household welfare would be aided by land policies towards increasing the size of farmland and decreasing land fragmentation. However, our findings also indicate that to be e ....

Republic Of , Vietnam Access To Resources Household Survey , Vietnam Access , Resources Household Survey , Doi Moi Vietnam Economic Reform , Instrumental Variables , Land Fragmentation , Ural Household Assets , Ural Household Income , Vietnam Access To Resources Household Survey ,

"Electrification and Socio-Economic Empowerment of Women in India" by Ashish Kumar Sedai, Rabindra Nepal et al.

This study moves beyond the consensus of counting electrified households as a measure of progress in gender energy parity. Using the India Human Development Survey, we examine the effect of reliability of electrification on empowerment of women in terms of economic autonomy, agency, mobility and decision-making abilities, underscoring the labor market and respite effects of service reliability. We develop a comprehensive set of empowerment indices using principal component analysis and assess the causal effects of power outages on the indices with instrumental variable regressions while controlling for individual, household, district and caste characteristics. Results show that reliability of electricity has significant positive effects on all empowerment indices and improves women's labor market outcomes, however, the effects differ at the margin of deficiency, location, living standards and education. The study recommends policy focus on electrification from a gendered lens for ....

India Human Development , India Human Development Survey , Instrumental Variables , Labor Market , Principal Component Analysis , Reliable Electricity , Women Empowerment ,

"Survey Weighting after Imperfect Linkage to an Administrative File" by James Chipperfield

This paper proposes an instrumental variable regression estimator of population totals using a sample, a set of links between the sample units and records on an administrative file, and a set of calibration totals calculated from the administrative file. This paper proposes a survey-weighted estimator of a population total that is valid when the survey non-response mechanism is non-ignorable and false negatives occur in the administrative-survey linkage. False negatives lead to measurement error in the administrative variables that are available on the survey and will lead to biased estimates if not taken into account. We show the benefit of the proposed approach in a simulation and in a case study. ....

Administrative Data , Instrumental Variables , Record Linkage , Urvey Weighting ,