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BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Real Yield July 14, 2024 - Vimarsana News

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Real Yield July 14, 2024

Split in the dots. Differenceshonest of opinion and how vulnerable the u. S. Economy is. Parts of hand, certain growth, especially domestically, that are holding up. You can make the argument that the fed should not do anything. On the other hand, you have trade war, geopolitical risks. Capex spending is going down. You will find more and more divisions in the committee. Joining me here in new york city, priya misra, diana amoa, and krishna memani. Priya,egin with you, your thoughts on the potential of another rate cut before years end . Priya we are looking for another rate cut in october. In...

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance July 14, 2024 - Vimarsana News

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance July 14, 2024

Good morning, everyone. Good afternoon if you are watching from asia. This is bloomberg surveillance. I am in italy for the ember city ambrosetti forum. Lot to do with the economy, the trade war, with no end in sight. Although the two sides did decide to meet her we go back to our wall of worry. What im looking at. European stocks were up at the open a touch, now they are down. 1 . A lot will have to with the number we get from u. S. Jobs. Looking at treasuries, they are slowing some of the declines we saw yesterday and we shot a sharp selloff. Im also looking at gold. It is probably the perfe...

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance July 14, 2024 - Vimarsana News

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance July 14, 2024

I am in for francine lacqua. Lets check in on the markets and get a quick look at what is going on. Yield see an allnew low on the u. S. 30 year bond. The long bond came down to one point 1. 90 . It has bounced back, but still, that paper is weighing on the yield. You can see that across the curve. Brent crude is rising. The nymex wti is as well. It has been a rally for oil as as u. S. Stockpiles came up better than anticipated. And gold, coming off of its highs just a little bit but very little change to the bottom. 1541. 64 as u. S. 10 year yields are negative, making gold more attractive. N...

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Real Yield July 14, 2024 - Vimarsana News

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Real Yield July 14, 2024

Fears of recession and uncertainty surrounding trade, sparking a rush into safety. That leads to a u. S. Yield curve that inverted wednesdayish, as i recall, the First Time Since 2007. The recession is avoidable. Even when you see the yield curve invert. That does not necessarily mean we are going over a cliff into recession. It tends to be about 18 months earlier than you see recession. This is about traditional signals of the yield curve. Talking about the curve inversion. Inversion. 2 10 inversion. The risk of recession goes right up. The castiron signal recession is probably not correct. M...

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Markets European Close July 14, 2024 - Vimarsana News

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Markets European Close July 14, 2024

After inventories came in come a drawdown, we saw the advance in crude oil pare back a little bit. At 56. 40. Guy bit of breaking news out of the United States. The Congressional Budget Office reviewing the full year 2020 u. S. Deficit. What they are saying is the deficit is going to top 1 trillion. That is a couple years earlier than originally anticipated, and may have an impact in terms of what happens when it comes to 2020 elections and the kind of politics we could see around that, and potentially could have an effect in terms of the president s ability may be to push through some more fi...