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Photo Illustration by Thomas Levinson/The Daily Beast/GettyWelcome to Trail Mix, your 2024 election sanity guide. See something interesting on the trail? Email me at jake.lahut@thedailybeast.com. To get Trail Mix in your inbox, subscribe here for free.This week, we revisit 2024’s biggest grudge that won’t go away. Plus, in vitro fertilization politics, and a look at why Trump keeps underperforming his polling numbers.RON HIS WAY OUTAfter more than a year spent reveling in their relentless tormen

Donald Trump’s victory over Nikki Haley in the South Carolina GOP primary has sparked another round of punditry about his supposed political dominance. Yet the primaries have revealed his weaknesses with independents, and he clearly fears his legal travails are a worsening liability. So what if Trump is weaker than he appears? We chatted about this with political scientist Julia Azari, co-author of an important new piece arguing that the long shadow of his 2016 victory is still badly distorting

They’re freaking out about a Biden-Trump rematch. It’s far too early to start worrying.

This is shaping up as a presidential election designed to Donald Rumsfeld’s specifications. At a 2002 press conference during the run-up to the disastrous Iraq War, George W. Bush’s hawkish defense secretary began talking about “known unknowns,” which he defined as things “we know ... we do not know.”In an election that offers the first rematch between an incumbent president and his predecessor since 1912, the campaign tactics and TV advertising blitz by both sides are likely to be dwarfed by a