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To the iraq war. i believe it was a bad idea. >> three issues right there you just heard. the '94 crime bill, the '03 iraq war and this question about climate change. they're all making a bet that they can move voters off biden with a policy argument. when biden's argument isn't policy-based. it's, i can win. by the way, you loved obama and i was his vp for two terms. that's the challenge. i think the biden bet is he has an obama halo with half the party and that the party's only test is can you beat trump? how son do we started saying, joe, you're too old or you're creating -- this is risky. ...

He's not on the balance dlochlt there are a lot of unknowns and people are shaken from the last presidential when so many people got it wrong. >> we saw at the 2016 elections, republicans were overwhelming blamed in the fall of 2013 for the government shutdown. their poll numbers went down and people forgot in a few months and they cleaned up in the 2014 elections. >> that's what democrats are betting on. you saw a few of these democratic senators vote with the republicans on the resolution. most of them stuck. and chum schumer is making a bet that what you see in those march signs in alabama,...

Dreamers. kristen welker, the president's making a bet that he can try to blame the democrats for this shutdown, when he rejected a deal that we all know was presented to him by lindsay graham and dick durbin at 10:00 in the morning last week, and by noon, they say under the influence of white house staffers, jim kelly and others turned his back on it. >> reporter: it seems like going through the details of that bill changed his tune. when there was a press conference with lawmakers, he said i'll accept any deal that you bring to the table. that was a real pivot given that they had reached a b...

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But maybe there's a sense of people who haven't decided even at this late point in the game will want to side with the guy that's going to be the winner. but regardless, both sides do it every year. in the last few days before the vote in particular. that's why you're seeing david axelrod making a bet that if president obama does not win michigan and minnesota and pennsylvania, he will shave off his mustache. he's betting his face. that's how confident he is. because this is the time in the campaign when you're supposed to project confidence. on the republican side, it's been a little more com...