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Detailed text transcripts for TV channel - CNN - 20181020:22:30:00

Benefit the republicans but could also benefit the democrats. the women vote as you know could ends up being significant in these midterms. a lot of suburban women voted for president trump in 2016. could this be the same case in november for women in particular? it cob. i could also point out biggest gender gap in the election. so i could say of course it cob the case that the polls are mott measuring women voters in the sub bushes. but another thing i ll point out that is important. there was specific under estimation in 2016. what we are seeing right now is the democrats are play inning a the lo of different places. laying in the upper midwest but also playing in california where they might pick up a lot of seats. might pick up seats in texas and interior northeast. so if there is a polling error that targets a specific group and the polsters aren t picking that up, democrats could still get the majority because maybe they are out perform with another group. okay. ....

President Trump , It Cob , Gender Gap , Women Voters , Upper Midwest , Polling Error , Polsters Aren T ,

Detailed text transcripts for TV channel - CNN - 20170506:22:38:00

Ten-part series. a week before the election, let me give him his props, he he was one of the few when he warned this, donald trump still has a chance. he s just a normal polling error behind. hey harry, i should point out that in nate s piece he says, look, this is not the only reason and it s not necessarily the most important factor but it s a significant issue nonetheless. explain. sure. i mean look, hillary clinton should never have been in a position to lose this election to donald trump who was the least liked presidential candidate of all time. anyone who wasn t the second least liked as hillary clinton was would have won this election regardless of the comey letter. that being said, when you have a five or six-point lead two weeks before the election and then magically it becomes two to four points right on the election eve, something happened and it lines up perfectly with when comey released his letter. in the days following we saw a tremendous dip in hillary clinton s poll ....

Donaldj Trump , Bruise 188 , Nate Silver , Polling Error , Hillary Clinton , James Comey , Wasnt The Second , Polling Results ,

Detailed text transcripts for TV channel - CNN - 20170506:13:38:00

The senior political citer a wr analyst of the 538 who did a ten-part series. he was one of the few when he warned this, donald trump still has a chance. he s just a normal polling error behind. hey harry, i should point out that in nate s piece he says, look, this is not the only reason and it s not necessarily the most important factor but it s a significant issue nonetheless. explain. sure. i mean look, hillary clinton should never have been in a position to lose this election to donald trump who was the least liked presidential candidate of all time. anyone who wasn t the second least liked as hillary clinton was would have won this election regardless of the comey letter. that being said, when you have a five or six-point lead two weeks before the election and then magically it becomes two to four points right on the election eve, something happened and it lines up perfectly with when comey released his letter. ....

Donaldj Trump , Harry Enton , Nate Silver , Polling Error , James Comey , Hillary Clinton , Wasnt The Second ,

Detailed text transcripts for TV channel - CNN - 20161113:15:45:00

Models are based on input. that s right. and in a sense it may be fair to say since the polls were wrong garbage in, garbage out. here s my question, though, this was not just a few polls. in the last five months i m guessing there were about 150, 200 polls done. maybe trump was up in 15, 20 of those. hillary was up in the vast majority. vast, vast, vast majority. why were they so wrong? it s hard to say at this point but i think it s worth clarifying how they were wrong. it seems to me that the preponderance of the eviden preponderance of the polling error were found in the upper midwest of the united states. there were no polls that showed trump winning in wisconsin. the national polls don t look that bad, clinton will win the popular vote, the national poll said she was ahead by three or four. let s stop. a lot of people look at the l.a. times tracking poll, the ....

Sense It , Garbage Out , Garbage In , Hillary Clinton , Rural America , Popular Vote , Tracking Poll , La Times , Polling Error , Upper Midwest ,

Detailed text transcripts for TV channel - CNN - 20161113:18:45:00

Is important to understand. not to get you off the hook, but models are based on input. that s right. and in a sense, it may be fair to say since the polls were wrong, garbage in, garbage out. here s my question, though. this was not just a few polls. in the last five months, i m guessing there were about 150, 200 polls done. maybe trump was up in 15, 20 of those. hillary was up in the vast majority. vast, vast, vast majority. why were they all so wrong? i think it s hard to say at this point but i think it s worth clarifying how they were wrong. it seems to me that the preponderance of the polling error were found in the upper midwest and rural northeastern part of the united states. there were no polls that showed trump winning in wisconsin. the national polls don t look that bad, clinton will win the popular by 1.5, 2 points. the national poll said she was ....

Garbage In , Garbage Out , Hillary Clinton , Polling Error , Upper Midwest , United States , 1 5 ,