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China is experiencing a rare episode of sliding prices. Japans economy experienced this back in the 1990s and early 2000s. Now, this comes hot the heels of disappointing china trade data on tuesday, which showed that exports sank at their fastest rate since the pandemic, dropping by more 14 in the year tojuly, with imports also falling by more than 12 in the same period. Joining me now is duncan wrigley, Chief China Economist at pantheon macroeconomics. Thank you very much for being with us today. The Rest Of The World looking on in amazement. Considering the inflationary pressures the rest of us are dealing with. What do you read Between The Lines in this latest data . Between the lines in this latest data . Latest data . Ok, i mean, there are some latest data . Ok, i mean, there are some shortterm latest d ....
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Absolutely right, china s recovery is a lot softer than was expected in the earlier part of this year when things start opening up, and china s government is choosing this time to refrain from a big stimulus, which has been a typical response, let s say, after the global financial crisis. ~ , . , ~ , crisis. why are they keeping their feet crisis. why are they keeping their feet on crisis. why are they keeping their feet on the crisis. why are they keeping their feet on the brakes - crisis. why are they keeping l their feet on the brakes when it comes to stimulating the economy? it comes to stimulating the econom ? . , , ., , economy? last time, ten years auo, economy? last time, ten years aao, if economy? last time, ten years ago. if we economy? last time, ten years ago. if we go economy? last time, ten years ago, if we go back economy? last time, ten years ago, if we go back there, - economy? last time, ten years ago, if we go back there, theyl ago, if we go back there, t ....
Three months ago? we saw oil prices increase earlier this fall and as they did, what you saw is president biden go into action. engaging with oil consuming countries and trying to make sure as i said that there was sufficient supply on the market to address what is a strong global recovery led by the united states. um, and what you have seen over the course of the last month is, in fact, in part because of those efforts, we ve seen the price of oil come down by about 10%. we ever seen the price of wholesale gas come down by about 12% and to your point, of course there is things in the middle but historically, the relationship between wholesale gas the gas what the gas companies pay and what pays at the pump is quite consistent. over the last month, we haven t seen that happen. we haven t seen the the decline in wholesale gas prices translate into benefits at the pump. so again, that s that s not typical. that s not usual market behavior in a competitive market. and so, that s ....
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