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Obama won the state by 262,000. if you needed any evidence of how energized the republic base is in states like ohio, take a look at this where they have already got more voters out in early voting and more absentee ballot requests than they had four years ago. and the democrats one heck of a lot less. you know, that's why i feel reasonably confident that the republicans are going to carry ohio. it runs just exactly counter to the quinnipiac "new york times" cbs poll. >> bill: okay, now, when these votes are excuse me, when these votes are cast in states before election day, they are immediate...

Swing from. obama won the state by 262,000. if you needed any evidence of how energized the republic base is in states like ohio, take a look at this where they have already got more voters out in early voting and more absentee ballot requests than they had four years ago. and the democrats one heck of a lot less. you know, that's why i feel reasonably confident that the republicans are going to carry ohio. it runs just exactly counter to the quinnipiac "new york times" cbs poll. >> bill: okay, now, when these votes are excuse me, when these votes are cast in states before election day, they a...

Voters and the base of the republic party wants but it can be a double edged sword. the republic base and the democratic liberal base, they are pretty motivated to protect their guys. >> bill: i know. the question is if this is going to be decided in the middle, then they want somebody who is going moderate and independent voters. >> bill: what you are going to get, james, is you are going to get attention. christie is is going to get you attention. a lot of people floating around. it's tuesday. maybe they are not locked. in christie is going to lock them in. what do you expect christie to say...

Was a year ago. is he a member of congress. most members of congress aren't well known to the members of public. it is a good number. seven out of 10 republicans have a favorable opinion of him. there is potential this will energize the republic base. >> do you have -- how does a vice presidential candidate effect a voter's pick in terms of deciding who to vote for? >> it's hard to say. you can only go back to maybe linden johnson's election to say that the vice presidential pick changed the outcome of an election. but, in this case, mitt romney is seen as not a terribly popular candidate amon...