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Winnipeg Free Press By: Jake Fuss and Alex Whalen Posted: Save to Read Later THIS week’s federal budget, the first since the pandemic began, is expected to include details about a massive stimulus package that will cost between $70 billion to $100 billion over the next three years. And yet, if Canada’s past experience with stimulus measures is any guide, this latest effort will not “kick-start” the economy as intended but instead may impede economic recovery while simply adding more governmen...

Print this article European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde addresses an event to launch the private finance agenda of the 2020 United Nations Climate Change Conference in London, England, February 27, 2020. (Tolga Akmen/Pool via Reuters) I felt spoiled for choice when it came to a topic with which to preface this week’s Capital Letter. Dogecoin went quite a long way toward the moon, the U.N.’s secretary-general has pushed for a “solidarity” or wealth tax, and digging further into the details of the administration’s planned new corporate-tax regime pro...

Did the Fed Stop Reporting the Money Supply (M2)? Why Inflation is Coming Back  Share   Share Jay Powell, Fed Chairman Reports are circulating that the Federal Reserve has given up on reporting the money supply because it’s a misleading guide to economic growth and price inflation. The broad-based M2 has been growing at double-digit-percentage rates for several years — M2 is up by 25% in the past year — yet price inflation (Consumer Price Index) is still hobbling along at 2% a year. Last week, Fed Chairman Jay Powell said he has given up on the money supply as an indicator of the eco...

Chart 2: Wealthy Taxpayers Rely Less on Wage and Salary Income Than Any Other Income Class Chart 3: Changes In Tax Rates Have Little Effect on Revenues Chart 4: Rich Pay More Following 1920s Tax Cuts Chart 5: Rich Paid More Under 1960s Kennedy Tax Cuts Chart 6: Reagan Tax Cuts Generated 31% More Tax Revenue From the Wealthy Chart 7: Higher Tax Rates, Lower Revenue Introduction One of the most important fiscal policy debates developing in this election involves the question of whether changes in tax policy have "supply-side" effects. In other words, will lower tax rates increase economic growt...

Article content There are three things that I think most pundits are missing in their prognosis for the economy and they are all basic laws of economics. Let’s start with the law of diminishing returns, as this applies to saturated expenditures of big-ticket durable goods. This is also related to the law of diminishing marginal utility, which posits that, all else being equal, as consumption increases, the marginal utility derived from each additional unit declines. We appear to have hit that point in at least eight per cent of consumer expenditures, which is double the share of the service...