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A ahead. had they asked the questions that they asked to determine who is likely voter and broke out that set of voters, that indicated they were likely voters, you have mitt romney ahead by two percentage points, that's well inside the margin of error. so it could be the other way. so basically, what this is sell tells us is that the race remains exceedingly close, while the debate performance, that even many democrats acknowledge was a win for governor romney and has given him momentum here, it's very close. >> greta: it may be close and well within the margin of error. but it's profoundly d...

>> heather: to wrap up. ron, do you think this vice presidential debate will matter more with voters this year and will it change the polls at all? >> we'll have to see. stakes are higher because the momentum is going in the romney direction, so a lot of people are going to watch this as where the race could be going. it gives ryan a chance once again to call biden out on the fact that he wants to raise trillions of dollars in taxes and he wants to talk about why is the middle-class has done poorly over the last four years during the obama administration. i do think it will be game changer. >>...

Margin of error. again, this is all based on polls from the last 30 days. okay. carl. what has changed since we last map? >> this map looks familiar because there are no changes in the last week. it shows obama plus lean at 225. romney plus leans at 191. 122 electoral votes in yellow state for tossup. not because we haven't had polling. 13 surveys over the last week and nine states but four of the states that didn't affect the average. in the other five, while it. aed the number, it didn't affect the status. four states moved in the romney direction. florida went from minus two for romney to t...

out of puerto rico into -- as rick santorum heads into the next two primaries. somewhat the opposite for mitt romney trying to gain the upper hand. he's now in puerto rico, where santorum may have offended some spanish speaker, romney is courting them in their own language. jim a costa is in san juan. what's the latest from there, jim? >> reporter: candy, mitt romney is in puerto rico for a series of events. after rick santorum's trip to this island, the trick is pretty simple. don't get lost in translation. mitt romney is out to show puerto ricans he is speaker that i majority. >> i...

Of pressure on those people -- >> let's try -- >> they have to be willing to absorb some blows. >> remember how he ran against hillary clinton and beat her. hillary clinton had a great idea, the individual mandate for health care, self reliance -- >> actually a republican idea. >> so the president bought into an idea he had ran against. now this time everybody on the democrat side, the progressive side, said you can't go this romney direction, keep the lower rights but get rid of this some big fat deductions. now the president is being given an opening by boehner saying there is a way we can c...