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Chechen warlord Ramzan Kadyrov’s ailing health and lack of a succession plan may create opportunities for terrorist and separatist activity in Russia’s most unstable republic.
As a result of outsourcing, networks of private military and intelligence contractors (PMCs and PICs) are now in a position to influence or even determine U.S. foreign policy
Throughout April, Russia has escalated its political and militarypressure on its neighbor Georgia. At the NATO summit in Bucharest,President Vladimir Putin reportedly threatened to recognize theindependence of the breakaway autonomous republics of Abkhazia andSouth Ossetia if Georgia was granted a Membership Action Plan (MAP)for eventual accession to NATO. On April 16, despite France andGermany balking at providing a MAP, and apparently as retributionfor the West's recognition of Kosovo's independence, Putininstructed the Russian Foreign Ministry to upgrade the legal andeconomic ties...
The hostage crisis in Moscow by Chechen Islamist extremists raisedconcerns about the security of post-Soviet weapon stockpiles. Thelikelihood of an attack with massive civilian casualties or the useof WMDs in the Russian-Chechen conflict has grown significantly.The U.S. should bilaterally expand security cooperation withRussia.
The Bush Administration needs to monitor a new geopolitical shiftthat is taking place following the visit of de-facto ruler of Saudi Arabia, Crown Prince Abullah to Russia on September 1-2. Moscow andRiyadh, old rivals, now claim to have found a common agenda, whichspans oil, terrorism, and arms sales.