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[♪...] megyn megyn: a fox news alert election alert. brand-new hour of "america live" welcome, everyone with i'm megyn kelly. with just days to gene the race neck and neck the candidates are on a final sprint across the final states to decide who will win the white house in 2012. rasmussen reports released several new swing state polls. the first show romney is holding a slight lead in the state of virginia with 50% compared to the president's 48%. romney is leading the president by 2 points in new hampshire. that's a critical swing state.
two events give me hope. for the all the money, special interests and busting people. scott walker won by a bigger margin than in 2010. second thing happened yesterday. all of these people who showed up at chick-fil-a. we have a segment this later i. i thought you were talking about ted cruz. this is the a great week. >> sean: ted cruz is a third one. it just makes me feel like in spite of the poll, you look at crowds showing up because they are so sick and tired of political correctness. >> right. and bullies! >> sean: okay. they are tired of record deficit spending and wisconsin voted for the republican that is fiscally this election? >> yeah. i mean, i am sure your pollsters can tell you this. the only polls that matter are likely voters and they all show romney ahead. they are lying by citing polls that mean nothing. >> sean: they out sample
two events give me hope. for the all the money, special interests and busting people. scott walker won by a bigger margin than in 2010. second thing happened yesterday. all of these people who showed up at chick-fil-a. we have a segment this later i. i thought you were talking about ted cruz. this is the a great week. >> sean: ted cruz is a third one. it just makes me feel like in spite of the poll, you look at crowds showing up because they are so sick and tired of political correctness. >> right. and bullies! >> sean: okay. they are tired of record deficit spending and wisconsin voted for the republican that is fiscally responsible. does that impact this election? >> yeah. i mean, i am sure your pollsters can tell you this. the only polls that matter are likely voters and they all show romney ahead. they are lying by citing polls that mean nothing. >> sean: they out sample
it's unbecoming and i don't think it's working. >> greta: why do you think it's not working? >> well, because the polls at the moment, if you look at the polling of likely voters, which is the only important polling, all of them at the moment show romney ahead. but more importantly, gretta, they show obama at 43 or 44 or 45% of the vote. i did a study -- i went back to 1964. i looked at every time an incumbent president ran for re-election. i found that except for bush in 2004, every single one of them lost all the undecided vote and in fact, lost a few of their own votes. when you compare the final poll with their result, the actual result was always lower. only 2 out of 8 times was it not. reagan, it was the same. bush it was 2 points higher. but 6 times, the president lost all the undecided vote and some of his vote. so a lot of people who are amateurs and don't understand this process -- journalist who
it's unbecoming and i don't think it's working. >> greta: why do you think it's not working? >> well, because the polls at the moment, if you look at the polling of likely voters, which is the only important polling, all of them at the moment show romney ahead. but more importantly, gretta, they show obama at 43 or 44 or 45% of the vote. i did a study -- i went back to 1964. i looked at every time an incumbent president ran for re-election. i found that except for bush in 2004, every single one of them lost all the undecided vote and in fact, lost a few of their own votes. when you compare the final poll with their result, the actual result was always lower. only 2 out of 8 times was it not. reagan, it was the same. bush it was 2 points higher. but 6 times, the president lost all the undecided vote and some of his vote. so a lot of people who are amateurs and don't understand this process -- journalist who
and so we're glad to get these two arrested and hopefully this will be the end of that and we can go on with our lives. but understanding that we, as always, need to be very vigilant about our relationships and about how, how we approach our community. >> mayor dewey bartlett of tulsa, sir, thank you so much for your time on this holiday sunday, i appreciate that. >> you're very welcome. to front page politics, a nut is not dropping out, but newt gingrich says mitt romney is most likely going to get the republican nomination. >> we are absolutely committed to defeating barack obama. if mitt romney ends up as a republican nominee, i will work as hard for him as i would for myself. >> a major development for the mitt romney campaign, records from the federal election commission show romney and the republican national committee have officially filed paperwork to form a joint fundraising committee and an aide for rick santorum said the candidate will not campaign in pennsylvania tomorrow, instead he's going to
ultimately leave gingrich and go to santorum and make it possible to beat romney so in illinois where newt gingrich and ron paul are not competing aggress every, santorum is getting his head to head matchup with romney and the romney campaign is loving that because the polls up to today show romney had an advantage, a lead in the polls and santorum campaign this morning is lowering expectations talking about they do not expect to win but they expect to do well and pick up delegates and romney campaign is trying to lower expectations in terms of the margin of victory with predictions he could win by double digits and romney is saying, no, no, no, 5 percent or 7 percent would be fine. >>shepard: san tom has several disadvantages, which he does not quaff. >>carl: he was unable to file a full slate of delegates in four districts so he is ten delegates light on the 54 purse even if he won.
since it is, we will get to politics. a huge day in the battle for illinois. the republican presidential frontrunner, romney, headed into the primary with a solid lead. the top challenger, santorum, looking for an upset win in the land of lincoln. there are 54 delegates up for grabs. it is a two-man race in illinois with newt gingrich and ron paul focusing efforts elsewhere. tonight's outcome could help romney cement the first-place showing. but a strong showing from rick santorum could strengthen his case to keep running. that is exactly what he hopes for. he said a surprise in illinois and carl cameron is in chicago. rick santorum has said he wants to go head to head in a debate. is it working? >>carl: he has argued with newt gingrich out of the race, santorum argues the conservative tea party-type voters in the republican party would
>> alice stewart, glad to see you here in person. what about mitt romney dising your candidate as possible running mate if rick santorum rolls into tampa, second place in delegates, having the strength in the south which is the republican base. w why isn't he considered? >> we will consider mitt romney for running mate when the time comes. the mitt romney group has been pushing out the math. it's a smoke screen to divert attention away from fact that they are not energizing the base or the conservatives or tea party and as chuck said he ises -- he is not breaking 30% and people are recognizing that rick is the true conservative in the race, hes that momentum now. he can take on romney and barack obama. the key issue, jobs and the