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It’s a new year. We come across a lot of geopolitical and economic forecasts for the new year: tensions in U.S.-China relations; wars continuing to rage in Ukraine and the Gaza Strip; major elections in more than 40 countries, including Korea and the United States; and how all of these developments will impact Korea’s security and economic landscape.
Expect North Korea to continue to advance military ties with Russia, push forward key advanced weapons programs (like nuclear subs), and generally shun diplomacy with the U.S. and South Korea.
It has been a challenging year for Korea’s foreign and security policy. The war in Ukraine continued to drag on. A new war broke out in the Gaza Strip on Oct. 7, and North Korea’s development of, and threats to use, nuclear weapons continued to aggravate. Each of these events was related to each other and posed serious challenges for Korea. The Korean government responded with bold and timely responses throughout the year.
Changes in the official “Defense Vision” documents show clearly how conceptions of the alliance have evolved from 2019 to 2023.
By Emma Sandifer, 4 Dec 23, https://armscontrolcenter.org/would-a-nuclear-weapon-make-south-korea-safer/-- The question of whether a nuclear deterrent might be necessary for South Korea has experienced a resurgence over the past few years, becoming a “mainstream feature of South Korea’s national security discourse”. With recent escalation in the pace of North Korea’s nuclear provocation, China’s aggressive buildup of its nuclear arsenal, and waning confidence in the…