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Suspended. barr didn't want that. maybe he did think it was damaging democracy because the way the president was out clearly making claims that weren't true. but then why was bill barr making the same climbs for so long? why did he write a letter praising the president when he resigned. maybe it's column a, maybe column b, but i think it was more column b, what mitch mcconnell wanted, to help save the election in georgia. >> we appreciate you being up early with us today. earlier in the show we asked why you were awake. >> first morning back swimming at the y, after a very long covid taper. ...

Badgering him to cut interest rates or keep interest rates low. it's going to be interesting to see which democrats come to jay powell's support and how this all plays, takes place in the context of this inflation debate, which i suspect will be with us for the next couple of weeks. kasie? >> hans, what's your sense of kind of the decisions at hand for powell in terms of trying to look at inflation? i mean, is this just an interest rate conversation, or is there something else going on here, too? >> asset purchases. i hate to use the term "taper" this early on this network, but there's a quest...

　　本周四，美联储将结束议息会议并公布利率决议。由于过去两个月非农就业不及预期，加上通胀超预期，市场关注美联储的态度是否会有所变化。 　　 中金宏观预计美联储6月议息会议将按兵不动，但整体基调未必很鸽。这是因为：（1）尽管就业复苏不及预期，但主要问题在于劳动力供给不足，而非需求不足。其他指标显示美国劳动力市场已经“趋紧”。此前数位美联储官员也认为，劳动力市场并没有看上去那么差。（2）通胀超预期上行说明供...

核心结论：一、海外：Taper在接近，但无系统性风险。当前全球疫情仍在改善，经济持续回暖。但去年以来美欧以需求为导向的刺激政策，叠加疫苗分配、疫情治理上的不对称带来的生产修复滞后。供需缺口进一步扩大，并逐渐酝酿全球性通胀风险。当前海外尤其是美国流动性已经过剩，美联储可能已经到了开启Taper的时候。

　　本周四，美联储将结束议息会议并公布利率决议。由于过去两个月非农就业不及预期，加上通胀超预期，市场关注美联储的态度是否会有所变化。 　　我们预计美联储6月议息会议将按兵不动，但整体基调未必很鸽。这是因为：(1)尽管就业复苏不及预期，但主要问题在于劳动力供给不足，而非需求不足。其他指标显示美国劳动力市场已经“趋紧”。此前数位美联储官员也认为，劳动力市场并没有看上去那么差。(2)通胀超预期上行说明供需矛盾进一...