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Expecting to see the wind shift continue for the next couple of hours. hopefully it doesn t get worse than what you re seeing. bob: yeah, i hope not because we have to move to higher ground. there s higher ground here. we ll find it. you re right. this storm surge will be elevated, jane, until the wind stops blowing it in. that could be 12, 16 hours, 18 hours from now. ian: that s close to where we were with ada in 2020. that was a tropical storm in a similar position. yeah, just consider what this would look like. this is about to be a major hurricane. it centers about 100 miles off shore of pinellas county where you are, bob. so this just gives you the tiniest little perspective. how vulnerable an area is to storm surge. bob, we ll be checking back in with you. jane: absolutely! tough to see. the volleyball courts there already swamped in ocean water. florida certainly feeling the impacts of hurricane idalia now. want to head out to the national weather service in tampa bay whe ....
ian: welcome back to fox weather. special welcome to folks watching us on fox news tonight as well. this is a live picture from cedar key, florida, as we continue to track hurricane idalia on approach, a high-end category 2 storm. we have inklings from the air force reserve hurricane hunters that are in the storm right now that we could have a major hurricane on our hands. we re waiting for the 2:00 update from the national hurricane center. as soon as we have it, so will you. we ll get you that latest information as you can see some of the waves crashing up. now, i do want to show you this. i m ian oliver. we have fox weather s jane minar here as well. just when we got started here, jane, cedar key s gage representing water rise above normally high tide was at zero more or less, so in just a little bit less than a couple of ....
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Warmer waters, more time we have to intens intensify in what s ed to be a category 4 hurricane over florida. ian: go back to 73 years ago for cedar key where we were showing you some of the pictures of the waves crashing up on the cadillac. that was 1950 hurricane easy. that was category 3 storm. that s the only one across the period of record that we have for a major making landfall. you d have to go all the way back farther off to the south to 1921, the tarpon springs hurricane, the great tampa bay hurricane of 1921. how far? ok, that s cody behind me in weather command. he s analyzing this data as it comes in as well. 175 miles off to the south-southeast of tallahassee and 100. this is what has changed, jane. as you showed us, storm slowing ....
St. johns river. i think that was a big talker with ian as it came through, not only just the flooding rain that happened but the river rise. what do you make out of this storm? are you concerned about any areas especially along, you know, the river that runs in a very unique way? you re right! it s very unique that runs north to south. interestingly enough, there is a tidal component to it up near the jacksonville area. we have very strong onshore winds it pushes water into the river. it prevents water from coming back out. the water just builds and builds and then the hurricane comes and then just sloshes it all to one side. again, this storm is going to be far enough away where that impact won t be as significant as we had with irma and probably 1-3 foot surge throughout the st. johns river in our area. ian: left side of the screen, you can see a live picture from cedar key. this is one of the places where we could see what could be a catastrophic surge up to about 16 feet. reas ....