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What's Up at the Fed? Supply & Demand, 12 Trading Notes, Microsoft Conference Should we care about Australia's central bank taking overtly aggressive action to reign in the long end of their yield curve? Yes, we should. Mar 01, 2021 | 07:55 AM EST Shot heard round the world? Like the crack of a bat on a sunny summer afternoon. Like the gust of wind that seems to come out of nowhere and blow your garbage cans across the street. Like discovering a small plastic toy when cleaning out the garage, a toy that is probably far older than you are yourself and instantly reminds you of "Grandma...

The Suppressed Economy, Impressive Earnings, U.S. Treasury Curve, Pandemic Watch I want you to think about how quickly the long end of the U.S. Treasury curve is moving. Feb 22, 2021 | 07:38 AM EST After The Winter (excerpt) Where towers the cotton tree An leaps the laughing crystal rill And works the droning bee And we will build a cottage there Beside an open glade And ferns that never fade - Claude McKay (2003) Pressure I think, maybe that it was not just me. Financial markets are reaching for an inflection point... changing rapidly while equity markets for the most part stood in ...

Shock & Awe Markets, Bank Stocks, Apple's Debt Move, Trading Amazon, ServiceNow Right off the top, the bubble has burst for the 'short squeeze' names such as GameStop and AMC Entertainment. Feb 03, 2021 | 07:28 AM EST Retired General Tommy Franks never cared for the term "shock and awe", and really did not see his tactics in the way they were described by the mainstream media back in 2003, as U.S. forces invaded Iraq. The U.S. made use of overwhelming air superiority backed by the rapid use of just as overwhelming ground forces. The whole idea of such an intense show of force is to ra...

Beware Market Land Mines: Stimulus, Vaccine Failure, Interest Rates  Share   Share Trending When the market cap of equities reaches 183% of GDP and gov't bonds yield near 0%, or even less overseas, the notion that one can just buy and hold a balanced portfolio is extremely dangerous. The minefield is not packed with IEDs, it is actually replete with tactical nukes.  One of those land mines would be the failure to keep government open and pass more stimulus. I have no special insight here except D.C. is famous for brinkmanship but always opts to spend more money in the end. Another problem...

When the market cap of equities reaches 183% of GDP and government bonds yield near 0%, or even less overseas, the notion that one can just buy and hold a balanced portfolio is extremely dangerous. The minefield is not packed with IEDs; it is actually replete with tactical nukes. One of those land mines would be the failure to keep the government open and pass more stimulus. I have no special insight here, except D.C. is famous for brinkmanship but always opts to spend more money in the end. Another problem would be the failure to have a peaceful transfer of power come January 20th. Also, the...