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We have a big week for data and only four days to digest it. Some of the punditry will get lost in the data while others continue the fruitless effort to reconcile market prices with economic fundamentals. ( Schwab, Paul Schatz). Retail sales and housing data will be most important. Industrial production will provide evidence about the strength of the recovery. I normally join in these efforts, but something special happened last week. My key questions have been answered by: A letter from Mr. Market. Please share this article - Go to very top of page, right hand side, for social media buttons. ....
In the week ahead, a historic impeachment trial begins, Mars missions from the United Arab Emirates and China are set to arrive on Mars, and Lunar New Year takes place. ....
What does a Biden Administration mean for my investments? Please share this article - Go to very top of page, right hand side, for social media buttons. Last Week Summary In my last installment of TWA, I suggested the need for substantial earnings growth to justify stock valuations. I also introduced Springtime Blossom Indicators - what we really need to monitor in our search for progress. It is a good reference, particularly the “What to Watch column. I will update it when there is an interesting change. Key Charts I always start my personal review of the week by looking at some great charts. This provides a foundation for considering news and events. Whether or not we agree with Mr. Market, it is wise to know his current mood. ....
We have an array of interesting data in the week ahead including inflation news, more employment numbers, and sentiment from consumers and small businesses. Most importantly we have the start of earnings season. Despite this, the political story will dominate, at least for a bit longer. While this is newsworthy, it is not the key element for investors. What best depicts this challenge to find the right focus? Let us turn to Chance the Gardener! The simple-minded gardener who knows only what he has learned on television is a fount of wisdom. Please share this article - Go to very top of page, right hand side, for social media buttons. ....