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so, out of south africa, erin, they reported about a 30% decrease in hospitalizations from what they would have expected based on the number of cases. but there s no guarantee that that he is going to be the same in europe or the uk, and no guarantee it s going to be the same in the united states. and and, you know, each each new variant has as i often like to say has its own little shop of horrors. and in the case of the omicron variant, here here s what i m worried about. one, is it s so transmissible. second, it does have that immune-escape property. and even with the third immunization, which gives you a big bump in virus neutralizing antibodies, it helps an enormous amount. but it s still about 70 to 75% protective against symptomatic illness according to the uk government from what they ve seen so far. so, we will see breakthrough symptomatic illnesses and and that s problem number one. problem number two, i m worried about the impact if there is a big surge also on ....
Best off staying with your own household or keeping a gathering small, doing it outside and at a minimum, getting a rapid test before you get people together. we ll see if families want to comply with that. thank you very much. let s bring in dr. hotez. if dr. fauci says the booster vaccines work against omicron, why then are officials at nih and cdc not saying this is a three-dose regiment, everyone must get boosted? yeah, we ve spoken all year, i ve always said this is a three-dose vaccine. and the reason is when you get that third dose, you get a 30 to 40 fold rise in virus neutralizing antibodies and therefore, more spillover protection against variants, including omicron. the numbers are not perfect, i have to say that. looking at what we heard from ....
That means we re going to see a lot of breakthrough symptomatic covid infections. the additional concerning news is germany is showing the virus neutralizing antibodies after that third dose decline pretty quickly. that could mean that 70% to 75% is the high point and that it could come down accordingly. so the reason i bring that up is because i think we re going to we could see a lot of health care workers in our hospitals who actually have symptomatic covid and not so much that they re going to get very sick and go to the hospital, but it s going to knock them out of the workforce. that could create a very destabilizing situation where you have a lot of people going into the hospital but not enough people taking care of them. so that s so there s a lot of moving parts to this very, very fast-moving epidemic here in the united states, and i think we have to take it very seriously, especially our health care administrators, our hospital administrators need to get ready ....
And your bibles. so we ve ever only reached 60% of the u.s. population fully vaccinated. and, you know, as great as this accomplishment is scientifically, the vaccines are only as good as those that get into people s arms. of course, and now the new numbers are we ve lost 150,000 unvaccinated americans since june 1, despite the widespread availability of vaccines. and i don t even know what you call it. it s not misinformation or disinformation, it s the it s a form of mass self-immolation. it s this incredible aimpression from the far right that has killed so many americans. and how we fix that, and we ve learned a couple of other things. the durability of the vaccines maybe not as strong as we had hoped, necessitating boosters and there s some new numbers now against the omicron variant that virus neutralizing antibodies declined precipitously. ....
If you get that third immunization, and i stress it s critical that you get that third immunization to get that big rise in virus neutralizing antibiotics, you re looking at a 70 to 75% effectiveness from symptomatic illness, so not as good as it was versus the delta variant, and then one last piece is we have some additional data out of germany showing that that rate of protection may decline pretty quickly after you get the third dose versus omicron because you re getting a drop in virus neutralizing antibodies, so this is going to be a pretty hellish winter, i m sorry to say, based on people refuse to go get vaccinated and the fact that now we re going to have this mixed infection of omicron and delta. and a terrible tragedy for the health care workers who are climbing this peak again. miguel introduced a woman in his story, a nurse there who went home and had to hide from her children because she cried at the end of these days, going up that mountain as we saw the cases grow, hos ....