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Big swings from pole to pole. democrats up a point with registered voters. somewhat significantly for the first time we applied a likely voter screen to this as well. trying to figure out based on people saying what their enthusiasm level is, based on how much they have participated in past midterm elections, that sort of thing, who the likely voters are, and there it flips. republicans take a one point lead in the likely voter model over democrats in terms of the top issue here, a combination, if you combine jobs and the cost of living or inflation, we asked them separately, but just for simp...

Human Rights Campaign Equality Votes PAC Launches GOTV Effort to Mobilize Equality Voters Ahead of the Georgia Runoff Elections HRC's Equality Votes PAC launched a six-figure digital ad campaign focused on voter education and turning out the vote in Georgia early in person, by mail and on Election Day. The campaign, consisting of new videos and peer-to-peer postcard campaign, is focused on educating voters on early voting, and mobilizing them to turn out to vote by January 5th to elect Reverend Raphael Warnock and Jon Ossoff. Watch the video: “Georgia Equality Voters turned out at higher r...

Wisdom and consensus that oh, my gosh, if something goes, it's going to be the house and it could blow big. >> and i think -- but i think democrats at large are anxious because there's so much understanding that you can't rely on polls. i think we have a secret hope nobody wants to voice that the blue wave can actually be bigger than expected but people are scared. >> and that's the thing, there was a concern right after '16, boy, did the trump voter not make it into likely voter screens? we go out of our way in the nbc news/"the wall street journal" poll to do that, which may be why we're in ...

Individual senate races, governor's races. so i think believe the national numbers in terms of the broad dynamics, but really this is going to be a state by state, city by city election. >> bill, how do you answer the question that says, okay, we're having a record breaking turnout? i mean beyond numbers i don't think -- put it this way, i'm actually going to get rid of the a-word tomorrow night, apathy, because there isn't going to be any. maybe in wyoming. how do new voters make it into our likely voter model? >> easily. we interviewed every registered voter in the country, chuck. and our li...

And you look at all of these races here. >> mccat skill's running an interesting race lately. she's saying i'm not one of those crazy democrats. she's got to move away from the party to hold on to her seat. maybe that's the strategy in the closing witnesses that can rescue that from her. we will be watching that. >> and also krysten sinema, who refuses to call herself a proud democrat. >> people are funny about this. it depends on the partisan makeup of the state. right across the river in menendez, you may not like me but you don't want a republican to make a difference in washington. everybo...