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Warren 13%. buttigieg way back at 9%. >> why do we care about california and texas? it's not iowa. it's not new hampshire. because the contest is about delegates. >> once you go beyond the early contests, it's all about math. my favorite subject in the world. and what do we see here? this is harry's rough delegate map if the statewide results matched our polls exactly right. obviously these are rough estimates. we see a fairly close matchup. biden getting 150 delegates. sanders getting 140. texas is something else entirely where biden leads the pack with 150 to sanders' 50, warren 20. buttigie...

Warren 20. warren owned the summer. she was the darling of the democrats. as we get to the fall, nine and a half weeks to the first vote, the democratic voters seem to be looking more to the centers, to the moderates. if you add up top choice, biden and buttigieg, 39%. top choice of the progressives, 31%. not a huge gap but the moderate voice seems to be getting more attention, more love, if you will, from democratic voters. >> this latest poll is only a snapshot at a given time and doesn't reflect what's happening in either iowa or new hampshire. with me karen finney and bakari sellers, who i...

Got polls all over the place, one is here, go to the poll average. there are constantly polls coming out, some in the last couple weeks, more in the next few weeks. what does the rolling average of every poll out there say? this is from real clear politics. they track this thing. it is updated daily. there you go. joe biden right now if you average them all together is still in the lead in this race. about a ten-point advantage for biden. you see bernie sanders sitting back there in second. elizabeth warren has moved up and is in third place. these are the only three candidates registering in ...

Suggesting that his electability argument could be weakening. joining me now to make sense of this when there are polls that go in different directions the only answer is msnbc national political correspondent steve kornacki. walk us through the new polls and what you make of them. >> the tale of two polls. this time yesterday the whole world was talking about a poll that showed joe biden falling to third place on the democratic side. today brand new poll, completely different story. this is morning consult. they do a weekly tracking poll and have doonting it all year. it continues in their ne...

Liberty and opposed to socialism are enthusiastic and giving to the party to reelect the president who says he will stop that. >> bill: it does tell us a bit of a story line and interesting to watch. the trump campaign said a year ago they need to raise a billion dollars for 2020. extraordinary. two other stories interesting. cbs poll came out. even though you have 48 people on stage you are starting to winnow the field. poll shows biden 25, warren 20, harris 16 and sanders at 16% you make of that what? >> it is tightening after the last debate, which was to be expected. biden is still leading...