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UK and US Inverted Yield Curves and Bond Funds :: The Market Oracle ::

Bond traders are eyeing a return to a type of trade that left them battered earlier this year - betting on yield curves returning to a more normal shape as slowing economies force central banks to cut interest rates. The shape of the yield curve has been in the spotlight over the last week, with U.S. and European 10-year bond yields rising sharply compared to their shorter-dated peers. Many investors say the big rush into such wagers will come when central banks look poised to cut interest rates to bolster growth.

<p><span>Thank you very much for inviting me to be part of the H. Parker Willis Lecture Series. As you know, Dr. Willis was a distinguished professor here at Washington and Lee University. Among many other accomplishments, he helped create the Federal Reserve System. He served as the first secretary to the Federal Reserve Board from 1914 to 1918 and later as the first research director.</span></p>

December 23, 2022- The Federal Reserve Board published a paper entitled, "Equilibrium Yield Curves with Imperfect Information."

Consumer, aren't we? >> yeah, you know, charles, we have -- we are a little bit. we think consumer balance sheets are still pretty strong, but are we seeing credit card balances and revolving credit moving higher? we are. it's still less than pre-pandemic as a percentage of debt limits, but it is moving higher. and, obviously, if you have a rail strike, if we start to affect things where 40% of packaged goods are now going to be affected, 50% of commuter traffic on rails is boeing to be a23ebg9ed concern going to be affected, agriculture's going to be affected, obviously, it is going to have a...