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Inflation Is the Big Challenge for Markets and the Fed in the Week Ahead

The April employment report was extremely disappointing with just 266,000 jobs created, well below the 1 million expected. The Friday report cast doubt on the expectations of some investors that the Fed will move toward paring back its so-called quantitative easing bond purchases later this year.
The thinking is if the inflation data appears hot when the consumer price index is reported Wednesday, it could ignite the debate about whether the Fed will have to tighten policy sooner than it would like. For now, the market is viewing the April jobs data as a distorted one-off report.
It s all about the inflation numbers. It s all about the transitory nature and to what extent we ll see it, said Peter Boockvar, chief investment officer at Bleakley Advisory Group It s more relevant to the CPI month-over-month changes. If the month-over-month gains are starting to pick up steam, and we re seeing 0.3% to 0.4%, that s not transitory and that s a problem for the Fed. ....

New York , United States , San Francisco , Raphael Bostic , James Bullard , Robert Kaplan , Walt Disney , Joe Biden , Rob Kaplan , John Williams , Richard Clarida , Lael Brainard , Julian Emanuel , Patrick Harker , Mary Daly , Peter Boockvar , Christopher Waller , Unity Software , Chesapeake Energy , Electronic Arts , Simon Property Group , Party City , Dow Jones , Bleakley Advisory Group It , International Flavors , Brookfield Asset Management ,

Inflation Is the Big Challenge for Markets and the Fed in the Week Ahead

The April employment report was extremely disappointing with just 266,000 jobs created, well below the 1 million expected. The Friday report cast doubt on the expectations of some investors that the Fed will move toward paring back its so-called quantitative easing bond purchases later this year.
The thinking is if the inflation data appears hot when the consumer price index is reported Wednesday, it could ignite the debate about whether the Fed will have to tighten policy sooner than it would like. For now, the market is viewing the April jobs data as a distorted one-off report.
It s all about the inflation numbers. It s all about the transitory nature and to what extent we ll see it, said Peter Boockvar, chief investment officer at Bleakley Advisory Group It s more relevant to the CPI month-over-month changes. If the month-over-month gains are starting to pick up steam, and we re seeing 0.3% to 0.4%, that s not transitory and that s a problem for the Fed. ....

New York , United States , San Francisco , Raphael Bostic , James Bullard , Robert Kaplan , Walt Disney , Joe Biden , Rob Kaplan , John Williams , Richard Clarida , Lael Brainard , Julian Emanuel , Patrick Harker , Mary Daly , Peter Boockvar , Christopher Waller , Unity Software , Chesapeake Energy , Electronic Arts , Simon Property Group , Party City , Dow Jones , Bleakley Advisory Group It , International Flavors , Brookfield Asset Management ,

More Earnings, April's Big Jobs Report and Inflation Worries Could Swing Markets in the Week Ahead

Since November, there s been a 30% rally, said Jimmy Chang, chief investment officer at Rockefeller Global Family Office. He noted that historically the November to April period is the strongest for stocks. There s the adage sell in May, go away. It may be somewhat appropriate this year since we ve done so well in the last six months.
Big jobs report
April s employment report is schedulted to be released Friday, and the market is expecting a big number.
Economists say payrolls in April could easily reach 1 million, after 916,000 jobs were added in March. Estimates range from about 700,000 to a forecast of 2.1 million from Jefferies economists. ....

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