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OP: The Week Ahead: Bitcoin Volatility and Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index

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The annual inflation rate in the US soared to 4.2% in April of 2021 from 2.6% in March and well above market forecasts of 3.6%. It is the highest reading since September of 2008, amid a surge in demand as the economy reopens, soaring commodity prices, supply constraints. There is also a base effect weighing as the coronavirus pandemic dented economic activity bringing the inflation rate to 0.3% in April 2020. The biggest increases were recorded for gasoline (49.6% vs 22.5% in March), fuel oil (37.3% vs 20.2%) and used cars and trucks (21% vs 9.4%). Inflation also accelerated for shelter (2.1% vs 1.7%) and new vehicles (2% vs 1.5%) and rebounded for apparel (1.9% vs -2.5%), but slowed for medical care services (2.2% vs 2.7%) and food (2.4% vs 3.5%). Meanwhile, compared to March, prices rose 0.8%, the most since 2009 while monthly core consumer inflation increased 0.9%, the most since 1996. ....

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An end to U.S. stock market exceptionalism?

Strategists who preached a measure of global diversification in stock portfolios may be seeing a glimmer of light at the end of the tunnel. For roughly a decade, American stocks as an asset class have outperformed non-U.S. equities. As recently as the end of 2020, as the rollout of COVID-19 vaccines bolstered optimism relative to a global turnaround, non-U.S. stocks have begun to shine.
The Wall Street Journal, 3/15/21, headlined, âValue Stocks in Europe Draw Investors.â Citing âa rotation from growth to value stocks,â the article noted increased buying of âcompanies hit hard by the pandemic and selling of those benefiting from stay-at-home orders.â In a first quarter 2021 report from a mutual fund group, the buying shift was postulated by Sean Markowicz, CFA, strategist, research and analytics, at London-based Schroders Investment Management. He noted that during lockdowns midst rising demand for digital services, large tech firms soared in value ....

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Double your income by looking overseas for dividends

British market will be quickly overtaken as the place for income due to faster growth elsewhere ....

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We are not out of the inflation woods yet

But ‘incorporating a hedging asset is no free lunch, as it may increase a portfolio’s risk profile’
Despite just a small rise in UK consumer price inflation in January, investors are still being warned that inflationary forces both in the UK and more globally, could spike later in the year.
Having risen 0.6% in December, UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation was up 0.7% over the year to January.
While this not be the surge many had been predicting, it is evidence of further tentative signs of inflation creeping upwards.
“Inflation has started 2021 in much the same vein as it finished 2020, low and moving sideways,” said Laith Khalaf, a financial analyst at AJ Bell. ....

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Boom, then Bust?

Boom, then Bust?
February 20, 2021, 8:22 AM·36 min read
Well, the S&P may not have done much this week, but there were clear signs and signals that the conditions fueling the current bubble(s) are going to continue and that the bubble(s) themselves are still bubbling away.
Elon Musk, in some ways the man of the bubble (I do hope that comment doesn’t disqualify me from some space tourism), got to the point.
Billionaire Elon Musk defended Tesla Inc.’s $1.5 billion Bitcoin investment on Twitter, calling the cryptocurrency a “less dumb” version of cash.
“When fiat currency has negative real interest, only a fool wouldn’t look elsewhere,” Musk said in a reference to the sub-zero returns on cash caused by negative-yielding debt. The comments pushed Bitcoin to a record on Friday, with prices climbing above $53,000. ....

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