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Stocks to buy: 17 inflation and recovery stock picks, BofA


The bank s US regime indicator has shifted to mid-cycle, a phase where inflation is typically strongest.
Bank of America graph of average annualized CPI and PPI changes
Bank of America
Bank of America s most recent fund manager survey on March 16 highlights inflation is the top tail-risk for investors and has replaced COVID-19 for that number-one spot in the survey for the first time since February last year.
Bank of America fund manager survey graph
Bank of America
This warning echoes similar sentiments from Morgan Stanley last week, whose inflation surprise index had turned positive for the first time in two years.  ....

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Inflation bigger worry than COVID-19 | Money Management


The average expectation for rising interest rates from the Federal Reserve was February 2023.
It had now been over a year since COVID was named as a pandemic by the World Health Organisation.
In line with the reduced fears about the pandemic, the percentage of respondents who were expecting a strong economy this year had risen to 91% which BofA said was the “best outlook ever” while 52% of fund managers expected value would outperform growth in the next 12 months.
Respondents’ allocations were mostly in cyclical sectors with high exposure to industrials, banks and commodities, described as “a drastic 180” from allocations a year ago which was skewed heavily to defensive sectors such as cash, healthcare and consumer staples. ....

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