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Stock market valuations: Expert says tech stocks face negative returns


It s not exactly a surprise there are a number of signs pointing to historic overextension not only at the top of the indexes, but throughout much of the market. And just as the laws of physics dictate how high something can be built without buckling over, there are loose axioms around how overextended valuations can get. Without the buttress of low yields as the economy recovers, price multiples are looking as if they re on an unstable foundation.
These market axioms are based on precedent. And for Jonathan Coleman, a small- and mid-cap portfolio manager at Janus Henderson, which manages $364 billion in assets, the past is illustrating how extreme investor euphoria and the valuations it is pushing up currently are. ....

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Stock market crash: CIO warns of 20% drop in S&P as 10-yr yields rise


10-year Treasury yields have risen to their highest levels since before the pandemic in recent days.
James McDonald, CIO at Hercules Investments, told Insider he expects yields to continue rising. 
He said they could rise to 2.5% by the end of March and trigger a 20% sell-off in the S&P 500.
Yields on 10-year Treasury notes have spiked to a one-year high over the last month, rising above 1.5% as COVID-19 cases fall and vaccinations continue positive developments for the economic recovery ahead. 
According to James McDonald, chief investment officer of the alternative asset manager Hercules Investments, the bleeding isn t likely to stop anytime in the coming weeks. ....

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Worried about the market crash? Here's how analysts interpret the fall


A sharp crash in the US markets in the overnight session spilt over to other Asian markets too on Friday, with India being no exception.
Both the benchmark indices BSE Sensex and NSE Nifty witnessed a nearly 3 per cent crash, forcing investors to scurry for cover. Financials, Reliance Industries (RIL) and tech majors TCS and Infosys were among the top drags. Marginal gains in select pharma names, however, cushioned the fall to some extent.
The market breadth was in favour of the bears with the advance-decline ratio at nearly 1:2, implying that one share rose for every two that fell. Meanwhile, the market capitalisation of the BSE-listed companies was eroded by Rs 4.5 trillion. ....

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Bears take control: Sensex slips below 50,000, investors lose Rs 3.7 trn


The Indian markets fell for a fifth day on Monday as bond yields continued to rise and the possibility of fresh lockdown to tackle the new wave of coronavirus loomed in some states.
The Sensex tumbled 1,145 points, or 2.3 per cent the most in two months to end at 49,744, the lowest close since February 2. The index has lost 2,410 points, or 4.6 per cent, in the last five sessions. The Nifty50 index fell to 14,676, down 306 points, or 2.04 per cent. The India VIX (volatility index) surged 14.5 per cent to finish at 25.47.
At the close of trade on Monday, the market capitalisation of BSE-listed companies stood at Rs 200.26 trillion, with investor wealth declining by Rs 3.7 trillion compared to the previous closing. ....

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