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Suspense builds on Wall Street over expiring Covid relief for big banks


Suspense builds on Wall Street over expiring Covid relief for big banks
With the economy crashing and markets in chaos last spring, the Federal Reserve handed out get out of jail free cards to America’s big banks. Now that the recovery is gaining steam, the Fed has to decide if it’s time to enforce the rules once again.
Suspense is building on Wall Street over whether the Fed will extend an exemption that loosened leverage rules applying to JPMorgan Chase, Bank of Americ and other large lenders.
The waiver, aimed at stabilizing markets and boosting lending, meant big banks wouldn’t be penalized for bulking up on ultra-safe US Treasuries and taking in a surge of deposits. ....

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The Case for Inflation :: The Market Oracle ::


overstimulation risk will far exceed the “output gap” shown in the latest Congressional Budget Office economic projections.
What is an output gap? Gross Domestic Product measures (or at least tries to) economic growth. Economists also calculate “potential GDP,” which is how much the economy 
could grow, if every available worker and other resource were fully employed.
Inflation tends to occur when actual GDP exceeds potential GDP because the economy is “running hot.” An output gap is when it goes the other way, with the economy operating well below its potential. That’s what we see in recessions.
Of course, all this involves numerous assumptions. GDP itself has problems, too, but it’s still a useful framework for analysis. Government and central bank policy should aim to keep the economy running roughly in line with its potential: not too hot, not too cold. ....

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