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"We'll Have Herd Immunity by April": Reflections on a Failed Prediction

“We’ll Have Herd Immunity by April”: Reflections on a Failed Prediction
Surgical oncologist Dr. Marty Makary predicted in February that we would have herd immunity to COVID-19 in April. In late July now, it is clear that we do not, but Dr. Makary continues to make dubious and outright incorrect statements about COVID-19 on national platforms to which he has access. Why can’t he just admit that his prediction had been in error?
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A prelude: “Where is the humility in our public health officials to simply say we were wrong?”
On May 25
th 2021,
The New York Times published an article that criticized the CDC for saying that “less than 10 percent” of Covid-19 transmission occurred outdoors. It correctly said that “Saying that less than 10 percent of Covid transmission occurs outdoors is akin to saying that sharks attack fewer than 20,000 swimmers a year. (The actual worldwide number is around 150.) It’s both true and deceiving.” ....

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Center for Public Representation and Coalition Partners Advocate for Accessible Vaccine Distribution

The Center for Public Representation issued the following news:
The Center, together with a broad cross section of the disability, aging, and civil rights organizations, urged the
Commonwealth of Massachusetts to take specific steps to ensure individuals at high risk of complications from COVID-19 have equitable access to the vaccines.
These recommendation include: (1) the development and distribution of accessible, plain language resources in multiple formats; (2) broadening the list of qualifying co-morbid conditions, and creating pathways to vaccination for other individuals at higher risk of severe illness and death; (3) targeting outreach and vaccination resources to communities hard hit by the virus; and (4) ensuring accessible vaccination sites and procedures for securing vaccine appointments. ....

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