competitive race. hillary clinton today in better shape than president obama was at this point in 2012. 30 days out, that's where we are today, president obama had a slim one-point lead over mitt romney. the day of the second debate the debates were later four years ago. it was october 16th. the two candidates were actually tied on the day of the second debate. so tied in this race a four-point lead in this race, no question secretary clinton right now in a better position at this point of the race than president obama was four years ago. especially when you go and take a state by state look. this is our current electoral map. if the election were held today, we believe secretary clinton would win the dark blue and light blue states. if donald trump won tossups, it wasn't enough. he would have to turn something on this map blue red. just in the last weeks polls in nevada showing clinton ahead. polls in ohio the latest has clinton with a small lead. polls showing clinton pulling slightly ahead in north carolina and in florida.