89 electoral votes are considered toss ups. remember, it takes 270 votes to win the presidency. the latest from the "new york times'" 538 blog gives the president a 78% chance of winning. romney has 30% chance. 5.1 million people have already voted. that includes more than 812,000 people in the key state of ohio. we'll have much more later in the show. but we start with tonight's lead. plan of attack. at a big rally today in florida, the president unveiled a new 20-page plan for the policies he's been talking about all this year. it's his agenda for the future. a detailed look, the american people are not getting from mitt romney. >> in this campaign, i've laid