>> it is a bad situation for the ukrainians. when you look at the map, you take a look at the map and see kyiv here, forces in the north central part of the country. this right here, i believe, is one of the major targets of the russian effort because what they're going to do is come down here from belarus. they are also going in through belgorod to kharkiv where sam kiley was at. what else is going on here is we've heard explosions in odessa and the fact that these explosions have occurred there indicates that there's probably a seaborn missile strike effort going on from the black sea. so with all of this what you're seeing is basically a three-pronged attack to not only take a large portion of ukraine but potentially divide the country in half. >> is there a pattern at all that you're seeing here? and how much more is this than you expected? >> well, i actually expected