digits? >> yeah. i don't think that's going to be enough, honestly, because i think that if you see some kind of surprise, if you see that there's a surprise, for example, in second place, i think that that could give someone a tailwind. >> lulu, as i said in the package, the record for the biggest win ever in a contested republican caucus in iowa was 12 points. is reihan right? does he have to get over 50% which would mean winning by 20 or 30 points? >> i think he does because he's not coming in only as someone who wants to be the nominee. he is coming in as an incumbent. i mean, this is someone who was the president of the united states. so therefore, there's a lot of expectations on how well he's going to do. that said, the fact of the matter is that even if it isn't over 50% comfortably, as you said, reihan, i think he still is the man to beat. so you know, i think we're just fudging words a little bit. ultimately is there a lot of