Can Recent Extreme Weather Be Attributed To Climate Change?

Can Recent Extreme Weather Be Attributed To Climate Change? U can help answer that question.


By gregladen
on March 4, 2014.
There are few different, related, ways in which climate change, including anthropogenic global warming, can cause extreme weather events. One is that climate zones move. This may result in "normal" weather for a different location occurring elsewhere. For example, if southern warm air system shift north, than the frequency of low and high temperatures, and their distribution throughout the year, can change. Another is the rise of entirely new conditions that were previously either rare or virtually unknown. One example of this might be the steering of Hurricane Sandy into the northeastern U.S. coast a couple of years ago. Hurricanes do plow into that region now and then, but they almost always come from the south and bump into land in the narrowing North Atlantic. Sandy did something different, moving north out at sea in the Atlantic, like many Atlantic hurricanes do, but then making an abrupt left turn, owing to an unusual configuration of the atmosphere, plowing into Connecticut, New York and New Jersey. That was a single unusual event, to be sure, but if such air patterns become "normal" (even occurring only every few years rather than almost never during hurricane season), that would be a qualitative shift in weather patterns. If that shift is caused by the phenomenon of Arctic Amplification (the relatively increased warming of the Arctic as the entire planet warms) that would be a shift in the kinds of weather patterns we have due to global warming. A third kind of change is what is often called "loading of the dice." This is where events that have a low probability of happening simply happen more often. The dice analogy is tricky because it is often used differently by different people; one idea is that a rare event is rolling two sixes with two die. That would be rare. But climate change adds one or two more die, allowing for a greater chance of two of them coming up as a six. That's a difficult analogy because there really isn't an equivalent to extra die in the climate system. The point here is that probabilities of rare events changes.

Related Keywords

New Jersey , United States , New York , Arizona , Canada , United Kingdom , Connecticut , Canadian , Arctic Sea , University Of Oxford , Hurricane Sandy , Arctic Amplification , Canadian Rockies , புதியது ஜெர்சி , ஒன்றுபட்டது மாநிலங்களில் , புதியது யார்க் , அரிசோனா , கனடா , ஒன்றுபட்டது கிஂக்டம் , கனெக்டிகட் , கனடியன் , ஆர்க்டிக் கடல் , பல்கலைக்கழகம் ஆஃப் ஆக்ஸ்ஃபர்ட் , சூறாவளி மணல் , ஆர்க்டிக் பெருக்கம் , கனடியன் பாறைகள் ,

© 2025 Vimarsana