ate practically everyone involve in this process, the young people in the streets, not to mention america's other allies in the region, saudi arabia and importantly israel where i was last week. and i have to say the mood there at the security conference was extremely negative. there was a strong feeling that the united states had no clue as to what was happening, what its policy was and i think more importantly what it's grand strategy is and my pain point is that there doesn't maksim to se strategy right now in the middle east. >> a brilliant foreign policy analyst, monti python who said nobody expects the spanish inquisition, did anybody get this right? even the israelis, and you were with them, they didn't see this coming, so did anybody see this coming? >> that's not the case. if you take a scenario building