>> shannon: these polls, it was a santorum state couple weeks back. it's tightened and the latest poll gives the slimest error of margin to mitt romney. because it's so close could those initial factors make a difference? >> it could be heej huge. remember we will be watching what the popular vote and delegate count. biggest thing, trend is your friend is what political hacks always say. you want to be going up when you are going into the primary. has the juice and momentum going into the primary he is likely winner. >> shannon: moving ahead to the general election, where do you see michigan going? when you look back it's gone democratic the last several presidential elections? >> it's gone democratic but michigan tells the story of america in a significant way in the last two election cycles. you saw president obama win by a huge marine in in margin in 2008 but they elected a slate of
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