when we know the reality of this thing is trump has maybe a one in seven shot and i'm probably being generous. everybody he knows is voting for trump. and it's all anecdotal info. people coming up to him in handshake lines, my cousins in connecticut are voting for you. maybe i ought to go to connecticut. >> trump thinks they're expanding the map, doing what i want to do, going to all theese places. what the team is doing, i said, third in 65, we can try a drop kick from here. >> that is a clip of our next two guests discussing the odds, according to them, very long odds of a trump presidency on "the circus," our showtime documentary series produced in conjunction with bloomberg politics. now for a post-election follow-up with mike murphy in chicago and the brilliant democratic strategist, bill carrick in los angeles. now, guys, i'm going to start by saying, i got it wrong, too. i'm going to start the thing, i was wrong. i got it wrong, i got it wrong, i got it wrong. this is not just me blaming you guys for getting it wrong without accepting my measure of