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place. think about this. i am looking at the total running on my phone. 1513 votes is what we have got in statewide. that is less than 1% or about 1% of what is statewide. what we are hearing from right now are small meetings, small caucuses where there are literally a handful of votes being reported across the state. we've got a long way to go before we understand whether or not donald trump has beaten 50% and whoever is in second place and what the numbers are. you had the last couple of guests. the margin has dropped from 70% to 56.1% right now. why? another 20 votes came in. we are way before we can begin to see the final shape of this except for one thing and that will be in first place is donald trump. the question is by how much? >> we talked about this false expectation like he has to beat 50%. what if he is at 49?