as great as they're sometimes described. most of this bill has been agreed to already. there are going to be changes in the senate. it is likely that manchin will insist on, for example, the paid leave provisions coming out of this bill. but in a very substantial form resembling what passed the house today, i think it's highly likely that passes the senate. both democratic leaders in the senate and white house officials are confident they've got those 50 votes prepared to go. that doesn't mean there won't be some skirmishing at the end and some back and forth. anytime you've got zero margin for error, they need all 50 senators plus vice president harris' vote to pass this thing. any single person can hold it up. but i think the expectation is that joe manchin and kiyrsten sinema, the two most obvious hold outs are not going to hold