senate majority in the midterm elections. >> under the conditions we have, which is partisan polarization and something called thermostatic public opinion. you are probably goes to lose one or both houses in the midterms. electoral politics isn't binary. margins matter. take a small or huge hit, a big loss or a small loss. the key thing to understand is that presidential approval rating has a big impact on the midterms. the website 538 writes, presidential proval rating has been a decent indicator of what will happen. in the last four, the incumbent president's disapproval rating was higher than his approval and in all four cases the president's party lost a block of house seats. because of that, democrats have a short amount of time to effectively govern. you have to understand the clock is running on unified