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BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Real Yield July 13, 2024 - Vimarsana News

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Real Yield July 13, 2024

Report. A bit of a mixed bag. It is consistent with some slowing. The manufacturing slowdown is continuing. But it is happening at a very gradual pays. It is not a falling out of bed moment. It is not flashing red, the economy is falling off a cliff number to me. Not falling off a cliff. Not much of anything to me. The market is priced in for an october rate cut. We have to pencil in a rate cut in october. For those looking for a decisive message, a deterministic one, they did not get it. Around theoining me table to discuss in a new york are our guests. I want to discuss what changed this wee...

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Real Yield July 13, 2024 - Vimarsana News

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Real Yield July 13, 2024

It is consistent with some slowing. The economy is slowing. The manufacturing slowdown is continuing. But it is happening at a very gradual pace. We are slowly pressing on the break here. It is not a falling out of bed moment. It is not like a flashing red, the economy is falling off a cliff number to me. Definitely not falling off a cliff. Not enough to do anything. The market is priced in for an october rate cut. We have to pencil in a fed cut in october. For those looking for a decisive message, a deterministic one, they did not get it. Jonathan joining me around the table to discuss here i...

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Real Yield July 13, 2024 - Vimarsana News

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Real Yield July 13, 2024

Employment growth decelerating. It is consistent with some slowing. The manufacturing slowdown is continuing. But it is happening at a very gradual pace. Pressing on the break. It is not a falling out of bed moment. It is not a flashing red, the economy is falling off a cliff number to me. Not falling off a cliff. Not enough to do anything. The market is priced in for an october rate cut. We have to pencil in a fed rate cut in october. For those looking for a decisive message, a deterministic one, they did not get it. Jonathan joining me around the table to discuss in new york are our guests, ...

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Real Yield July 14, 2024 - Vimarsana News

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Real Yield July 14, 2024

Pricing out of recession risk. We dont see recession coming right away. Maybe august was that peak here. Chomped a lot of wood in august, sentiment horrible. Sentiment is bearish. Maybe we are coming out of it. I think the fed needs to confirm that but maybe we have had a mini cycle. We are set up perfectly for a rally in risk assets into the fall. If we could just hold earnings, we get a reevaluation story. If you want the bull market to die, show me the recession. Until you can produce it, you have got to take the over. No recession, Central Banks in play, markets outside, going into the fal...

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Real Yield July 14, 2024 - Vimarsana News

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Real Yield July 14, 2024

You cant trade this stuff right now. Fundamentally, i dont think it centers a whole lot around the policy war. You almost have to ignore it and keep investing the way you would. We are focused on the fed, we are focused on the underlying fundamentals. For me, trade is the big thing. Tariffs. The trade deal with china, the negative Interest Rates affecting the markets. What the market is focusing on still, they would like to see some sort of resolution on trade. That will be important. Jonathan joining me around the table in new york city is george rusnak, Michael Collins, plus Luke Hickmore. L...